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Illustrative demo — sample data

Forecasting from data already on hand

Years of sales history sitting in spreadsheets, unused — turned into a forecast that holds up out of sample, not a curve fit to the past.

Backtested MAPE
6.8%
Horizon
90 days
History used
4 years
Weekly units, actuals vs. forecast
Solid = actuals · dashed = forecast · shaded = 80% interval · hover to read exact values
Actuals Forecast 80% interval

The model isn't picking the line that looks best on the chart it was fit to — it's validated against periods it never saw during training, the same discipline used to score out-of-sample edge in the risk models this is built on. 6.8% error on unseen weeks, not on the data it was trained on.